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Statistical modelling and analysis of unpaid taxes

Statistical modelling and analysis of unpaid taxes

We have developed a new model to estimate the amount of unpaid tax for each of Norway's 433 municipalities. The model is a logistic regression model that explains the ratio between the total amount of taxes paid and the sum of the claims, when one disregards the taxes that are paid voluntarily. We have studied the effect of several macroeconomic variables and variables which describe the resources available at the municipalities. In order to study the stability of the model, the model is fitted for several years with income data.



Norwegian Tax Administration

Norsk Regnesentral
Postboks 114 Blindern
0314 Oslo
Norsk Regnesentral
Gaustadalleen 23a
Kristen Nygaards hus
0373 Oslo
(+47) 22 85 25 00
Adresse Hvordan komme til NR
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Postadresse: Norsk Regnesentral, Postboks 114 Blindern, 0314 Oslo
Besøksadresse: Norsk Regnesentral, Gaustadalleen 23a, Kristen Nygaards hus, 0373 Oslo
Tlf: (+47) 22 85 25 00
AdresseHvordan komme til NR